We're back! Three long weeks without UFC action has gone by. We return with a hell of a card to look forward to. Buffalo New York's Keybank Center will host this Saturday night's event. The UFC 210 card marks the UFC's first return to Buffalo since 1995.
The main event of the evening will see Daniel Cormier defend his UFC light heavyweight championship against Anthony “Rumble” Johnson, in a rematch almost two years in the making.
Elsewhere, we have New York native Chris Weidman face Gegard Mousasi in a must win fight. The former middleweight champion desperately needs a victory should he want to get back into the title picture.
I believe there are a number of open fights and great betting opportunities. With that said, lets take a look at the odds.
We're going to change the format a little for this event. Instead of the usual long breakdowns, I'm just going to give you picks and pricing. I'll attach two video breakdowns for your enjoyment as well.
Dog or Pass
There's three fights that I believe there is value in the respective underdogs at current prices. To give you an idea why I pick fighters like this it's quite simple, we need a lower win percentage to make profit than if we're backing heavy favourites. If one of the three suggested underdogs win, we'll break even at worst.
Desmond Green v Josh Emmett:
At 2/1 I believe Green is worth a shot. He may be less well known but he does have the skills and size to beat Emmett.
Kamaru Usman v Sean Strickland:
Strickland is currently as big as 14/5. I think if his odds get north of 3/1 then he's worth a play. He has a striking advantage in this fight and if he can keep Usman from smothering him, he has a chance to upset the odds.
Will Brooks v Charles Oliveira
I like Will Brooks, he's a very talented fighter. The former Bellator lightweight champion just has seemed tentative to me thus far in his UFC career. Oliveira is difficult to predict, what is a known item is his jiu-jitsu prowess. I loved this line at 5/2, it's dropped to 9/4 but that's enough for me to play.
Daniel Cormier v Anthony Johnson
One of the prop bets that stand out for me currently is DC by KO/TKO being as high as 8/1 with Sky Bet. At that price I think it's definitely worth half a unit.
I must say, I do think this could go to the third, fourth or fifth round. So the over/under markets at current prices are definitely interesting.
Chris Weidman v Gegard Mousasi
This fight is too close to call for me. But if I'm siding with either fighter currently it's probably Weidman based on price. I think the most likely result here is the fight hitting the judges scorecards for a decision. That outcome is 4/5 with Sky Bet currently.
Beyond that I'd be looking at the decision method pricing with both guys being 2/1 or more. Whoever you side with, I think that's where the money play is on this fight's props.
Please do not bet what you can not afford to lose. If you've any thoughts about this week's odds, let us know in the comments section. Don't forget to follow us on Facebook and Twitter. Enjoy the fights.
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